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2024-12-14 10:07:09
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On Friday, A-shares fell 69 points in volume on Friday, with 2 trillion dives and 4,400 floating green. Where is the market outlook going?5, for the meeting bull market, it is really mixed. When the position at the bottom of the market index is favorable, it will easily rise, but after a period of rising and encountering pressure, the favorable position will easily form a killing, forming a so-called favorable cash. This is what many investors say, why sometimes it will dive down when it is good. It depends on whether there has been a round of rise and key position before.(2) From a technical point of view, at present, it has not fallen below the 20-day moving average, and all the moving averages, such as 5 days, 10 days, 20 days, 30 days and 60 days, are still bullish, so the general trend has not changed, but the short-term needs interval shock consolidation. This week's weekly line finally formed a small yinxian line that surged back to the upper shadow line, and the highest point happened to be 3486.


(1)A shares rose for 12 consecutive days from 3227, and basically I was right for 12 days. I didn't know about today's decline. The big meeting was held on December 11th and 12th, and as a result, we didn't know that the meeting was over until late at night, so today A shares showed a favorable low opening and low going market.7. Stabilizing the real estate and stabilizing the stock market mentioned in the heavy meeting is such a heavy benefit, if it is placed in the Indian stock market or the Japanese stock market or the US stock market. I believe that all kinds of funds are very excited and will do more rising prices, but most of the time our A-shares are presented as favorable cash, and the initiative of the stock market's rise and fall is in the hands of institutions, not retail investors. From this, we can see that all kinds of funds are actually "mercenary"!3. A shares closed, and we can't help but look back at these three waves of rising prices and three waves of falling prices, which really makes people feel mixed. This is the classic speculation. Don't tell me about value investment. On September 24th, the first wave of meeting bulls rose by 3,674 points, the second wave of meeting bulls rose by 3,152 to 3,509, and the third wave of meeting bulls rose by 3,227 to 3,486 for 12 consecutive days. All of them are driven by the benefits of the meeting. It is no surprise that the stock market will fall after the meeting. What is the game? This is the familiar game of our A-share market.


6. At the same time, another point that impressed me a lot is that Monday's heavy meeting was good only at 3:00, and Hong Kong stocks were pulled up first, and then harvested in A shares the next day. At the same time, the second heavyweight meeting was held for two days, which we retail investors didn't know at all, and some brokerage institutions reported that it was in mid-December, and I thought it was next week. As a result, the heavyweight meeting came out late last night with good news, which is obvious that the information of the institutions is known in advance than that of our retail investors, which is also a kind of information gap for the institutions to harvest retail investors.9. How to get to the market outlook? Will there be a new round of diving in A shares?(3) It is expected that the bottom will rebound next week, and a support level will be formed near 3356 near the 20-day moving average, forming a K-line shape with a downward shadow line, which will last for a short period of time and then rise again! Short-term interval shock consolidation, the medium-term trend is still there.

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